The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Virginia Tech Hokies v Cal Poly Mustangs

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Tech Hokies (Local)

Prediction 48.03%2.08fair odd
EV -0.583%
Edge -0.282%
Kelly -0.545%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%47.97%48.26%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.951.942.0753.48%51.27%51.55%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit)

Prediction 51.97%1.92fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.03%51.74%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.801.801.8756.50%55.56%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Tech Hokies (Local): 48.03%; Cal Poly Mustangs (Visit): 51.97%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.07, with an expected value of -0.583%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.09%EV -0.583%E -0.282%K -0.545%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.91%EV -8.01%E -4.52%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 22:09
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -2.50%E -1.23%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 22:10
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.01%E -4.52%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 14:48
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.01%E -4.52%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 13:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.01%E -4.52%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 13:49
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.95%E -1.97%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.01%E -4.52%K -10.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 13:49
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 22:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.41%E -2.97%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 22:28
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.35%E -3.25%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 22:19
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -6.83%E -3.52%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 22:30
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.31%E -3.79%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 19:49
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.31%E -3.79%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 19:49
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.31%E -3.79%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 19:50
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.89%E -2.67%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 14:59
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 13:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.27%E -4.33%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.45%E -3.58%K -8.06%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 14:00
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.50%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 14:49
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -10.19%E -5.45%K -11.71%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -8.01%E -4.52%K -10.40%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.86I 53.76%NM 49.32%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.68%9.0%2026-05-29 23:30