The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Virginia Cavaliers v Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 45.89%2.18fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.840%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.13%46.09%45.91%49.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.022.052.1452.91%49.46%48.78%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit)

Prediction 54.11%1.85fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.834%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.94%53.91%54.09%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.741.711.8259.17%57.34%58.48%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 45.89%; Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit): 54.11%. For Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.82, with an expected value of -1.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -1.80%E -0.840%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -8.55%E -5.06%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-21 18:19
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 16:59
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 19:39
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -3.63%E -1.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -8.55%E -5.06%K -12.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 17:07
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -4.09%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -4.09%E -1.96%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 19:39
MyBookie.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -5.47%E -2.65%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 19:45
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.93%E -2.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.85%E -3.36%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-21 18:49
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -7.30%E -3.62%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -4.22%E -2.39%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 18:54
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.22%E -4.11%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.22%E -2.39%K -5.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 17:05
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -10.06%E -5.13%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -3.68%E -2.07%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 18:54
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -10.52%E -5.39%K -11.07%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -7.47%E -4.37%K -10.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 18:54
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -13.27%E -7.02%K -14.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -1.52%E -0.834%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 17:14
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -13.27%E -7.02%K -14.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -1.52%E -0.834%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 17:14
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -13.27%E -7.02%K -14.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -1.52%E -0.834%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%5.4%2026-03-21 19:49