The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Virginia Cavaliers v Virginia Tech Hokies

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 79.48%1.26fair odd
EV -4.63%
Edge -3.86%
Kelly -23.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.85%80.04%79.58%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.171.181.2088.50%85.19%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit)

Prediction 20.52%4.87fair odd
EV +12.88%
Edge +2.34%
Kelly +2.86%
Growth +0.369%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%19.96%20.42%21.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.674.505.5022.73%21.43%22.22%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 79.48%; Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit): 20.52%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.87. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.88%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -9.40%E -8.24%K -67.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +12.88%E +2.34%K +2.86%G +0.369%5.9%2026-03-12 23:50
DraftKings🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -8.60%E -7.48%K -57.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV +6.73%E +1.29%K +1.60%G +0.108%6.2%2026-03-12 21:54
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.60%E -7.48%K -57.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +2.62%E +0.524%K +0.655%G +0.017%7.0%2026-03-13 03:38
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.10%EV -10.19%E -9.02%K -78.40%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.90%EV -0.458%E -0.094%K -0.119%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 18:49
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.57%EV -7.81%E -6.73%K -48.80%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.43%EV -1.28%E -0.266%K -0.336%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.42%E -4.56%K -28.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -3.54%E -0.752%K -0.956%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -6.22%E -5.27%K -34.55%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV -4.36%E -0.935%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 17:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -6.22%E -5.27%K -34.55%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV -4.36%E -0.935%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 17:55
888sport🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.63%E -3.86%K -23.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 19:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.63%E -3.86%K -23.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.63%E -3.86%K -23.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-13 19:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.22%E -5.27%K -34.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:03
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.22%E -5.27%K -34.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-13 18:00
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.01%E -5.99%K -41.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -7.64%E -1.70%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 18:05
theScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.22%E -5.27%K -34.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.69%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.22%E -5.27%K -34.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.69%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 18:44
Bally Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.22%E -5.27%K -34.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.69%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 18:44
betPARX🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.22%E -5.27%K -34.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.69%E -2.20%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.17I 85.47%NM 81.57%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.43%4.8%2026-03-13 19:24