Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.18
assuming max odds 6.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 82.69%; Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit): 17.31%. For Virginia Tech Hokies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.84%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.38%E -6.59%K -61.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +3.84%E +0.639%K +0.767%G +0.029% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 15:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.21%E -7.40%K -74.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -0.490%E -0.085%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 15:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -8.21%E -7.40%K -74.63%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV -0.490%E -0.085%K -0.103%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 15:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.82%E -0.876%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 16:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.82%E -0.876%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.82%E -0.876%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.82%E -0.876%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 16:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.38%E -6.59%K -61.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.82%E -0.876%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 16:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.38%E -6.59%K -61.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.82%E -0.876%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 16:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.38%E -6.59%K -61.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.82%E -0.876%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.30%EV -5.73%E -5.03%K -40.92%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%EV -8.28%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 16:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.90%E -4.26%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -9.14%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 12:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.85%EV -7.38%E -6.59%K -61.52%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.15%EV -12.60%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 15:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.90%E -4.26%K -32.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.47%E -2.69%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 16:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -7.38%E -6.59%K -61.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -13.47%E -2.69%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 15:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -2.42%E -2.05%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV -19.35%E -4.15%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.79%EV -2.42%E -2.05%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21%EV -19.35%E -4.15%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -2.42%E -2.05%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -22.12%E -4.92%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 83.09% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.91% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |