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Virginia Cavaliers v Richmond Spiders
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Virginia Cavaliers (Local)
assuming max odds 1.28
Richmond Spiders (Visit)
assuming max odds 4.13
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 74.88%; Richmond Spiders (Visit): 25.12%. For Richmond Spiders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -7.15%E -5.77%K -29.80%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV +3.76%E +0.910%K +1.20%G +0.045% | 4.9% | 2026-05-12 16:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -8.65%E -7.09%K -39.32%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +3.00%E +0.733%K +0.969%G +0.029% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.40%E -5.12%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -2.02%E -0.518%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -7.15%E -5.77%K -29.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.40%E -5.12%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.79%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 09:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.40%E -5.12%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.79%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 09:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.40%E -5.12%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.79%E -1.54%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 09:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -5.65%E -4.49%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-12 00:18 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.40%E -5.12%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.40%E -5.12%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -6.40%E -5.12%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-12 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.56%E -2.65%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-11 23:44 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.65%E -4.49%K -21.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.56%E -2.65%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-12 11:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.40%E -5.12%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.56%E -2.65%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-12 11:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.40%E -5.12%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.07%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-12 07:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 16:55 |