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Virginia Cavaliers v James Madison Dukes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Virginia Cavaliers (Local)
assuming max odds 1.17
James Madison Dukes (Visit)
assuming max odds 5.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 82.33%; James Madison Dukes (Visit): 17.67%. For James Madison Dukes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.60, with an expected value of -1.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -3.68%E -3.15%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -13.39%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-06 23:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -4.50%E -3.88%K -28.14%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -14.28%E -2.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-07 02:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.33%E -4.63%K -35.51%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 16:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.33%E -4.63%K -35.51%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-07 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.15%E -5.39%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 15:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.15%E -5.39%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 15:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.15%E -5.39%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 15:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.22%EV -6.15%E -5.39%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 17.78%EV -6.85%E -1.30%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.15%E -5.39%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 16:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.15%E -5.39%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.15%E -5.39%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 17:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.15%E -5.39%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-07 18:13 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -6.15%E -5.39%K -43.92%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -16.04%E -3.38%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-07 21:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.97%E -6.17%K -53.64%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -1.02%E -0.182%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.80%E -6.96%K -64.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-07 18:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.86% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.14% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 21:55 |