Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers v Jacksonville St Gamecocks

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 47.42%2.11fair odd
EV +6.69%
Edge +2.97%
Kelly +5.35%
Growth +0.358%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%47.49%47.12%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.981.962.2552.36%50.49%51.02%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Visit)

Prediction 52.58%1.90fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.86

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%52.51%52.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.781.781.8661.73%56.21%56.18%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 47.42%; Jacksonville St Gamecocks (Visit): 52.58%. For Virginia Cavaliers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +6.69%E +2.97%K +5.35%G +0.358%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -14.82%E -9.15%K -23.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 22:50
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.79%E -1.36%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.51%E -4.89%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-29 03:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.88%E -3.28%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 15:29
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.40%E -3.60%K -8.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 17:58
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.93%E -3.92%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 20:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.93%E -3.92%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 16:09
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.93%E -3.92%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 02:18
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.93%E -3.92%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 16:09
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.16%E -2.58%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.93%E -3.92%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 20:29
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -7.06%E -3.60%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.20%E -1.18%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-29 15:19
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.06%E -3.60%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.72%E -1.47%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 15:09
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.53%E -3.86%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.51%E -4.89%K -11.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 13:19
Bally Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.01%E -4.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -6.40%E -3.60%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 14:49
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.01%E -4.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -6.40%E -3.60%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 14:49
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -8.01%E -4.13%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -6.40%E -3.60%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 14:49
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.78%E -2.06%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 23:24
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 00:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 00:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.43%E -4.94%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.35%E -2.97%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 00:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%3.4%2026-05-29 22:39