The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Virginia Cavaliers v Florida St Seminoles

Kickoff: 2026-04-03 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 53.17%1.88fair odd
EV -0.572%
Edge -0.306%
Kelly -0.657%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.40%53.00%53.33%55.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.761.741.8759.17%56.96%57.47%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida St Seminoles (Visit)

Prediction 46.83%2.14fair odd
EV -1.66%
Edge -0.789%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%47.00%46.67%49.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.002.002.1052.63%50.03%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 53.17%; Florida St Seminoles (Visit): 46.83%. For Virginia Cavaliers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.87, with an expected value of -0.572%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -0.572%E -0.306%K -0.657%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -11.02%E -5.80%K -12.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 17:39
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.29%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.68%E -4.45%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 17:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.29%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.68%E -4.45%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 17:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.29%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.68%E -4.45%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 17:30
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.29%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.68%E -4.45%K -9.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 17:29
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -8.21%E -4.19%K -8.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 16:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -6.95%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV -5.87%E -2.92%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-03 17:53
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 15:04
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.48%E -4.30%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 15:46
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.02%E -4.63%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 15:15
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.02%E -4.63%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.02%E -4.63%K -10.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.34%E -3.17%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 15:25
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.55%E -4.97%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -5.40%E -2.68%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 17:39
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.55%E -4.97%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -5.40%E -2.68%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 17:40
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -8.55%E -4.97%K -11.87%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -5.40%E -2.68%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-03 17:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.08%E -5.31%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.66%E -0.789%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 16:00
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -10.14%E -6.00%K -14.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -4.00%E -1.95%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 15:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.95I 51.28%NM 49.61%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.39%3.4%2026-04-03 17:55