The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Virginia Cavaliers v Florida St Seminoles

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 46.92%2.13fair odd
EV +0.879%
Edge +0.409%
Kelly +0.764%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%46.93%47.14%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.991.962.1553.48%50.20%51.15%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Florida St Seminoles (Visit)

Prediction 53.08%1.88fair odd
EV -0.741%
Edge -0.396%
Kelly -0.852%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%53.07%52.86%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.771.771.8759.17%56.62%56.50%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 46.92%; Florida St Seminoles (Visit): 53.08%. For Virginia Cavaliers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.879%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +0.879%E +0.409%K +0.764%G +0.007%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -10.30%E -6.09%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-02 16:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -0.059%E -0.028%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -10.30%E -6.09%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 16:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -0.059%E -0.028%K -0.053%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -10.30%E -6.09%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 16:25
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.47%E -0.699%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.23%E -5.40%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-02 16:15
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -1.47%E -0.699%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -10.30%E -6.09%K -14.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 17:09
FanDuel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.22%E -2.58%K -5.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -6.05%E -3.42%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 17:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.05%E -3.42%K -7.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 17:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.16%E -3.08%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.11%E -4.06%K -9.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 18:33
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -8.04%E -4.10%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -4.99%E -2.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 18:45
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.51%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.05%E -3.42%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 16:40
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.51%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.05%E -3.42%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 16:39
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -8.51%E -4.36%K -8.95%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -6.05%E -3.42%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-02 16:39
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.38%E -5.44%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.86%E -1.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 19:44
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.38%E -5.44%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.86%E -1.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 04:09
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.38%E -5.44%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 02:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.38%E -5.44%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 02:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.38%E -5.44%K -11.41%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.46%E -2.48%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-02 02:09
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -12.26%E -6.56%K -14.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -0.741%E -0.396%K -0.852%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 16:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%5.5%2026-04-02 20:44