The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Virginia Cavaliers v Duke Blue Devils

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 71.85%1.39fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -3.34%
Kelly -13.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.95%71.87%71.88%72.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.311.311.3376.92%76.12%76.34%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Duke Blue Devils (Visit)

Prediction 28.15%3.55fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.424%
Kelly -0.594%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.23%28.13%28.12%29.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.323.313.5031.25%30.10%30.21%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 71.85%; Duke Blue Devils (Visit): 28.15%. For Duke Blue Devils (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.44%E -3.34%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 09:18
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -5.15%E -3.90%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -6.83%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 11:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -5.15%E -3.90%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -6.83%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 11:40
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.15%E -3.90%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 00:40
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -5.15%E -3.90%K -16.11%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.01%EV -9.08%E -2.81%K -4.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 12:29
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.87%E -4.48%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -1.49%E -0.424%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 11:59
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.87%E -4.48%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 12:49
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.87%E -4.48%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.11%E -2.16%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 12:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -5.87%E -4.48%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 11:59
FanDuel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.30%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 12:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.59%E -5.07%K -21.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.93%E -3.10%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 11:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%4.3%2026-05-20 12:29