The School of College Oddsodds.college
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Virginia Cavaliers v Clemson Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 59.16%1.69fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%59.11%58.97%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.581.591.6564.94%63.10%62.89%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clemson Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 40.84%2.45fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.822%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.39%40.89%41.03%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.302.4045.45%43.63%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 59.16%; Clemson Tigers (Visit): 40.84%. For Clemson Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -1.97%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.39%E -1.45%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 12:30
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 14:54
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -8.51%E -3.80%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -8.51%E -3.80%K -6.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 16:40
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.35%E -3.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:19
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -5.35%E -3.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -8.51%E -3.80%K -6.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 16:19
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.94%E -3.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 15:30
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.94%E -3.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 12:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.94%E -3.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 15:24
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 15:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 15:35
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.72%E -4.95%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.97%E -0.822%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 15:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.72%E -4.95%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.83%E -2.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 16:49
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -7.72%E -4.95%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 15:29
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.90%E -5.78%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 16:05
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.90%E -5.78%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 16:05
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.90%E -5.78%K -16.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.02%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%5.3%2026-04-18 16:10