The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Virginia Cavaliers v California Golden Bears

Kickoff: 2026-05-08 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Virginia Cavaliers (Local)

Prediction 71.71%1.39fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -3.48%
Kelly -14.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.64%71.81%71.73%73.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.311.321.3377.52%76.16%75.76%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

California Golden Bears (Visit)

Prediction 28.29%3.54fair odd
EV +0.420%
Edge +0.118%
Kelly +0.165%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.65%28.19%28.27%29.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.303.303.5531.25%30.32%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Virginia Cavaliers (Local): 71.71%; California Golden Bears (Visit): 28.29%. For California Golden Bears (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.420%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -7.49%E -5.81%K -25.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV +0.420%E +0.118%K +0.165%G +0.001%5.7%2026-05-08 17:14
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.62%E -3.48%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 12:52
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.06%E -4.62%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.82%E -1.12%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 23:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -6.37%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -6.37%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-08 12:54
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 23:35
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.06%E -4.62%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 03:23
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.06%E -4.62%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-08 15:59
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.49%E -5.81%K -25.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 16:14
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.49%E -5.81%K -25.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 16:14
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.49%E -5.81%K -25.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -6.65%E -2.02%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-08 16:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -6.06%E -4.62%K -19.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 16:13
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.01%EV -8.63%E -2.67%K -3.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-08 13:29
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.86%EV -5.34%E -4.04%K -16.69%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.14%EV -9.20%E -2.87%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 19:05
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.62%E -3.48%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 00:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.62%E -3.48%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 00:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.62%E -3.48%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.48%E -2.96%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 00:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-05-08 21:34