默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Virginia Cavaliers v California Golden Bears

开赛时间: 2026-05-09 20:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Virginia Cavaliers (主队)

预测 68.85%1.45公平赔率
EV -4.99%
优势 -3.61%
Kelly -13.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.38

博彩公司预测分布
68.29%68.98%68.81%70.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.331.361.361.3875.19%73.53%73.53%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

California Golden Bears (客队)

预测 31.15%3.21公平赔率
EV -1.88%
优势 -0.597%
Kelly -0.874%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
29.84%31.02%31.19%31.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.013.003.1533.90%33.28%33.33%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Virginia Cavaliers (主队):68.85%;California Golden Bears (客队):31.15%。 对于“California Golden Bears (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.21。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.15,期望值为-1.88%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.99%E -3.61%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.44%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 11:31
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.99%E -3.61%K -13.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.67%E -4.14%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -5.93%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.67%E -4.14%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -5.93%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:39
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.67%E -4.14%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 04:54
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -5.67%E -4.14%K -15.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.11%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 13:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.95%EV -6.36%E -4.68%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.05%EV -5.93%E -1.96%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:09
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.36%E -4.68%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 05:35
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.36%E -4.68%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 05:49
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.36%E -4.68%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 06:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.36%E -4.68%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 06:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.36%E -4.68%K -17.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 06:04
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -6.36%E -4.68%K -17.67%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -7.18%E -2.41%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 18:04
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.05%E -5.22%K -20.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.11%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:04
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.05%E -5.22%K -20.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.11%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:04
betPARX🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -7.05%E -5.22%K -20.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.11%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:04
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.74%E -5.78%K -22.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -1.88%E -0.597%K -0.874%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 18:04
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.43%E -6.34%K -25.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.55%E -2.18%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 16:17
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%5.2%2026-05-09 19:24