Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores v UC Irvine Anteaters

Kickoff: 2026-02-27 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores (Local)

Prediction 66.90%1.49fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -10.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.53%66.96%66.43%69.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4373.53%71.36%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Irvine Anteaters (Visit)

Prediction 33.10%3.02fair odd
EV +0.954%
Edge +0.313%
Kelly +0.465%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.84%33.04%33.57%34.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.692.812.753.0537.17%35.58%36.30%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vanderbilt Commodores (Local): 66.90%; UC Irvine Anteaters (Visit): 33.10%. For UC Irvine Anteaters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.954%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -9.02%E -6.63%K -25.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV +0.954%E +0.313%K +0.465%G +0.004%6.3%2026-02-27 13:09
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.68%E -5.56%K -20.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.701%E -0.234%K -0.350%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 21:34
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -8.35%E -6.09%K -22.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -0.701%E -0.234%K -0.350%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.34%E -4.53%K -15.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.01%E -1.38%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-27 18:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.68%E -5.56%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.67%E -1.99%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-27 17:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -5.00%E -3.52%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -6.99%E -2.49%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 17:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -5.00%E -3.52%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -6.99%E -2.49%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-27 17:04
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.87%EV -4.33%E -3.03%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.13%EV -8.64%E -3.13%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.00%E -3.52%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-27 17:04
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.34%E -4.53%K -15.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 18:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.34%E -4.53%K -15.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 18:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.34%E -4.53%K -15.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.98%E -3.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 18:39
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.00%E -3.52%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.63%E -3.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 17:39
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.00%E -3.52%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.63%E -3.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 17:39
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.00%E -3.52%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.63%E -3.94%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-27 17:39
1xBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.09%EV -7.68%E -5.56%K -20.20%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 33.91%EV -10.96%E -4.08%K -6.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-27 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.