Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores v Oklahoma Sooners

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 23:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores (Local)

Prediction 48.14%2.08fair odd
EV +3.50%
Edge +1.63%
Kelly +3.04%
Growth +0.107%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%47.67%48.07%49.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.971.952.1552.91%50.87%51.28%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Oklahoma Sooners (Visit)

Prediction 51.86%1.93fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -6.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.94%52.33%51.93%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.791.801.8359.17%55.96%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vanderbilt Commodores (Local): 48.14%; Oklahoma Sooners (Visit): 51.86%. For Vanderbilt Commodores (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV +3.50%E +1.63%K +3.04%G +0.107%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -12.36%E -7.31%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV +2.54%E +1.19%K +2.25%G +0.057%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -12.36%E -7.31%K -17.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV +2.54%E +1.19%K +2.25%G +0.057%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -12.36%E -7.31%K -17.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 22:45
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.21%E -4.64%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-10 10:14
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.65%E -2.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-10 17:55
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-10 18:05
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 05:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 17:10
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 20:19
1xBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:05
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.05%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 22:56
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.05%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 05:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.05%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 05:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.05%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 05:25
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -9.01%E -4.77%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 17:55
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -9.01%E -4.77%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 17:50
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -9.01%E -4.77%K -10.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-10 17:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%4.6%2026-04-10 22:50