Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.04
assuming max odds 15.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vanderbilt Commodores (Local): 92.03%; Marist Red Foxes (Visit): 7.97%. For Marist Red Foxes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.55. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.56%.
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -6.13%E -6.01%K -306.50%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +19.56%E +1.30%K +1.40%G +0.273% | 4.7% | 2026-02-22 18:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.13%E -6.01%K -306.50%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +11.59%E +0.828%K +0.891%G +0.103% | 5.2% | 2026-02-22 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.13%E -6.01%K -306.50%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV +3.62%E +0.278%K +0.301%G +0.011% | 5.7% | 2026-02-22 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.21%E -5.06%K -173.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.32%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.21%E -5.06%K -173.65%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -12.32%E -1.12%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -5.21%E -5.06%K -173.65%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -28.27%E -3.14%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-22 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.65%EV -4.29%E -4.12%K -107.23%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.35%EV -46.20%E -6.84%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-22 18:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.