Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores v LSU Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-13 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores (Local)

Prediction 44.30%2.26fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.41%44.64%44.30%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.082.102.2052.36%47.97%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LSU Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 55.70%1.80fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +2.33%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%55.36%55.70%57.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.701.681.8361.73%58.95%59.52%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vanderbilt Commodores (Local): 44.30%; LSU Tigers (Visit): 55.70%. For LSU Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -15.39%E -8.06%K -16.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +1.93%E +1.06%K +2.33%G +0.045%7.0%2026-03-13 22:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -12.73%E -6.46%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -0.295%E -0.165%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 22:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.61%EV -12.73%E -6.46%K -13.12%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.39%EV -0.295%E -0.165%K -0.373%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-13 22:30
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.19%E -4.48%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 16:40
Bally Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.19%E -4.48%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 16:40
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -9.19%E -4.48%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -4.75%E -2.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 16:40
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-13 18:14
1xBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 22:40
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.87%E -3.47%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 22:35
FanDuel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -5.20%E -2.43%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.42%E -3.82%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 18:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.76%E -2.21%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-13 18:14
MyBookie.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -6.09%E -2.87%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 18:18
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 16:55
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.97%E -3.32%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.98%E -4.18%K -10.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-13 18:08
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.54%E -1.16%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.09%E -4.90%K -12.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 17:23
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.19%E -4.48%K -8.75%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.09%E -4.90%K -12.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-13 22:40
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -2.54%E -1.16%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -9.76%E -6.03%K -15.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 17:27
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%5.1%2026-03-13 22:25