Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores v LSU Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores (Local)

Prediction 38.71%2.58fair odd
EV -1.30%
Edge -0.509%
Kelly -0.838%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.72%38.70%38.63%40.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.412.402.5542.92%41.52%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

LSU Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 61.29%1.63fair odd
EV -4.38%
Edge -2.81%
Kelly -7.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.90%61.30%61.37%63.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.531.531.5667.57%65.34%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vanderbilt Commodores (Local): 38.71%; LSU Tigers (Visit): 61.29%. For Vanderbilt Commodores (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.58. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -1.30%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -1.30%E -0.509%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -9.29%E -6.27%K -19.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 22:09
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.83%E -4.50%K -13.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 16:50
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.23%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.45%E -4.93%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:10
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.17%E -2.11%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 22:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.94%E -2.45%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.94%E -2.45%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 18:40
BetUS🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.94%E -2.45%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.61%E -3.64%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 20:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.83%EV -6.72%E -2.79%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.17%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 22:34
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.38%E -2.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-14 22:25
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.10%E -2.96%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.06%E -5.37%K -16.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 22:28
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.88%E -3.31%K -5.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.22%E -4.07%K -11.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:50
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.04%E -3.85%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.06%E -5.37%K -16.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 22:29
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -9.81%E -4.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -4.38%E -2.81%K -7.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 22:40
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.81%E -4.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -4.99%E -3.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 22:30
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.81%E -4.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -4.99%E -3.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 22:30
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -9.81%E -4.21%K -7.38%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -4.99%E -3.22%K -9.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 22:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%5.2%2026-03-14 23:55