Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores v Indiana Hoosiers

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 19:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vanderbilt Commodores (Local)

Prediction 71.80%1.39fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -8.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.18%71.82%71.58%73.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.311.311.3578.13%76.48%76.34%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Indiana Hoosiers (Visit)

Prediction 28.20%3.55fair odd
EV +1.52%
Edge +0.423%
Kelly +0.586%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.23%28.18%28.42%30.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.033.293.203.6033.00%30.42%31.25%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vanderbilt Commodores (Local): 71.80%; Indiana Hoosiers (Visit): 28.20%. For Indiana Hoosiers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -8.10%E -6.33%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +1.52%E +0.423%K +0.586%G +0.009%5.9%2026-03-17 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -8.10%E -6.33%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +1.52%E +0.423%K +0.586%G +0.009%5.9%2026-03-17 19:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -8.10%E -6.33%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +1.52%E +0.423%K +0.586%G +0.009%5.9%2026-03-17 19:00
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -8.10%E -6.33%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -1.30%E -0.370%K -0.518%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 18:59
BetUS🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.11%EV -8.10%E -6.33%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.89%EV -1.86%E -0.534%K -0.750%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 18:59
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.94%E -4.54%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.53%E -1.65%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.94%E -4.54%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.94%E -2.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.51%E -3.39%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 18:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -5.94%E -4.54%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 18:58
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.66%E -5.12%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.76%E -3.05%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 18:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -5.23%E -3.96%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -10.32%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.51%E -3.39%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 18:59
betPARX🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.51%E -3.39%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 18:59
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.51%E -3.39%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.58%E -4.06%K -5.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 18:59
Fliff🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -6.66%E -5.12%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -13.99%E -4.59%K -6.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 18:59
1xBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.18%EV -3.07%E -2.28%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.82%EV -14.55%E -4.80%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 18:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%4.9%2026-03-17 18:59