The School of College Oddsodds.college
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UTSA Roadrunners v Wichita St Shockers

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UTSA Roadrunners (Local)

Prediction 71.50%1.40fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -3.69%
Kelly -14.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.31%71.40%71.49%71.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.321.321.3376.34%75.70%75.76%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wichita St Shockers (Visit)

Prediction 28.50%3.51fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -0.913%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.12%28.60%28.51%29.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.273.303.4031.75%30.58%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UTSA Roadrunners (Local): 71.50%; Wichita St Shockers (Visit): 28.50%. For Wichita St Shockers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -3.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.90%E -3.69%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -3.10%E -0.913%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-03 08:15
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.90%E -3.69%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.80%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 02:44
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.90%E -3.69%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -10.23%E -3.25%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 10:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -5.62%E -4.26%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -5.67%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.49%EV -5.62%E -4.26%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.51%EV -5.67%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 12:10
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.62%E -4.26%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 02:40
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.99%EV -5.62%E -4.26%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.01%EV -7.95%E -2.46%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 12:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.62%E -4.26%K -17.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.80%E -2.75%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 12:15
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.33%E -4.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 04:00
theScore Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.33%E -4.84%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.95%E -1.80%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.10I 90.91%NM 75.06%3.31I 30.21%NM 24.94%21.1%2026-05-03 17:50