The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UTSA Roadrunners v UAB Blazers

Kickoff: 2026-05-14 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UTSA Roadrunners (Local)

Prediction 73.34%1.36fair odd
EV -5.39%
Edge -4.18%
Kelly -18.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.07%73.34%73.34%73.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.291.291.2978.13%77.72%77.52%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UAB Blazers (Visit)

Prediction 26.66%3.75fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.38%26.66%26.66%26.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.533.503.6028.57%28.30%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UTSA Roadrunners (Local): 73.34%; UAB Blazers (Visit): 26.66%. For UAB Blazers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -4.04%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.04%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 22:24
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.39%E -4.18%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-13 21:15
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.12%E -4.78%K -21.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.70%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-14 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.