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UTSA Roadrunners v Texas State Bobcats
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
UTSA Roadrunners (Local)
assuming max odds 1.69
Texas State Bobcats (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.45
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UTSA Roadrunners (Local): 58.13%; Texas State Bobcats (Visit): 41.87%. For Texas State Bobcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.58%.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -12.81%E -8.54%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +2.58%E +1.05%K +1.78%G +0.046% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 16:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -12.81%E -8.54%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +2.58%E +1.05%K +1.78%G +0.046% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -12.81%E -8.54%K -25.61%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +2.58%E +1.05%K +1.78%G +0.046% | 7.5% | 2026-05-12 16:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -2.44%E -1.05%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-12 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-12 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.57%E -4.76%K -12.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.70%E -1.61%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.54%E -1.99%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 16:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.54%E -1.99%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.41%E -3.98%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -4.54%E -1.99%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-12 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -8.15%E -5.16%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -4.54%E -1.99%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-12 18:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.74%E -5.56%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.79%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-12 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.83%E -3.60%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -6.21%E -2.77%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 16:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -1.76%E -1.04%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-12 16:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.92%E -1.75%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.98%E -4.64%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-12 16:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.73% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27% | 9.1% | 2026-05-12 21:30 |