Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UTSA Roadrunners v Charlotte 49ers

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UTSA Roadrunners (Local)

Prediction 67.96%1.47fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -6.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.70%67.80%67.81%69.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.381.371.4374.63%72.34%72.99%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 32.04%3.12fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.88%32.20%32.19%34.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.722.922.953.0236.76%34.26%33.90%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UTSA Roadrunners (Local): 67.96%; Charlotte 49ers (Visit): 32.04%. For UTSA Roadrunners (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.47. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.43, with an expected value of -2.81%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.81%E -1.97%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 02:15
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.49%E -2.46%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 04:00
1xBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -3.49%E -2.46%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -12.86%E -4.73%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 18:10
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.85%E -3.46%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.46%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.85%E -3.46%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.10%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -6.89%E -5.03%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -6.89%E -5.03%K -18.62%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -3.25%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 17:20
BetUS🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.89%E -5.03%K -18.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.50%E -1.86%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 18:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV -6.89%E -5.03%K -18.62%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -5.82%E -1.98%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.93%E -6.66%K -26.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 17:15
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.93%E -6.66%K -26.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 17:15
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -8.93%E -6.66%K -26.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 66.18%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%8.7%2026-04-18 18:49