Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

UTSA Roadrunners v Charlotte 49ers

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

67%

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UTSA Roadrunners (Local)

Prediction 67.01%1.49fair odd

EV -4.17%

Edge -2.92%

Kelly -9.70%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

65.29%66.94%67.17%67.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.401.411.411.4371.43%71.00%70.92%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Charlotte 49ers (Visit)

Prediction 32.99%3.03fair odd

EV -2.69%

Edge -0.911%

Kelly -1.38%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.49%33.06%32.83%34.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.692.812.802.9537.17%35.56%35.71%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UTSA Roadrunners (Local): 67.01%; Charlotte 49ers (Visit): 32.99%. For Charlotte 49ers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -2.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.29%EV -4.17%E -2.92%K -9.70%G +0.000%	2.69I 37.17%NM 34.71%EV -11.26%E -4.19%K -6.66%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-19 14:45
Caesars🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.84%E -3.41%K -11.53%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.69%E -0.911%K -1.38%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-04-19 14:44
LowVig.ag🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.44%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.99%E -2.10%K -3.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-19 14:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.44%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.99%E -2.10%K -3.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-19 14:45
BetUS🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.44%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -8.62%E -3.11%K -4.87%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-19 14:45
BetRivers🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.44%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-04-19 14:20
Bally Bet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.44%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-04-19 14:20
betPARX🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -5.51%E -3.91%K -13.44%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-04-19 14:20
DraftKings🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.18%E -4.42%K -15.46%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.34%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-19 14:40
BetMGM🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.18%E -4.42%K -15.46%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.34%E -1.50%K -2.28%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-04-19 14:55
Bovada🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -6.18%E -4.42%K -15.46%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -5.99%E -2.10%K -3.24%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-19 14:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.18%E -4.42%K -15.46%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.64%E -2.73%K -4.24%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-19 14:45
Betway🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.18%E -4.42%K -15.46%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.28%E -3.38%K -5.31%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-19 10:20

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%	2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%	8.4%	2026-04-19 15:45