Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Valley Wolverines v Cincinnati Bearcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 17:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Valley Wolverines (Local)

Prediction 28.89%3.46fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.316%
Kelly +0.442%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.23%28.75%28.89%30.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.243.203.5032.79%30.86%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit)

Prediction 71.11%1.41fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -3.51%
Kelly -13.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.34

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.68%71.25%71.11%72.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.321.321.3476.92%75.90%75.76%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Valley Wolverines (Local): 28.89%; Cincinnati Bearcats (Visit): 71.11%. For Utah Valley Wolverines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +1.10%E +0.316%K +0.442%G +0.005%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.84%E -5.22%K -22.07%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 15:29
LowVig.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -2.65%E -0.787%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -6.84%E -5.22%K -22.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -2.65%E -0.787%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -6.84%E -5.22%K -22.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 13:40
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.67%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.13%E -4.64%K -19.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 15:25
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -4.67%E -1.42%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.84%E -5.22%K -22.07%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 15:28
BetUS🎯3.29I 30.40%NM 28.48%EV -4.96%E -1.51%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.52%EV -6.84%E -5.22%K -22.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 14:30
theScore Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -6.12%E -1.88%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.13%E -4.64%K -19.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 15:55
BetMGM🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.42%E -4.07%K -16.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 15:30
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.13%E -4.64%K -19.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 16:05
Bally Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.13%E -4.64%K -19.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 16:05
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.13%E -4.64%K -19.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 16:05
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.56%E -2.36%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.55%E -5.81%K -25.18%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 16:10
MyBookie.ag🎯3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -8.14%E -2.56%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -6.13%E -4.64%K -19.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 15:29
FanDuel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -9.01%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.71%E -3.51%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 15:55
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.32%EV -11.03%E -3.58%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.68%EV -4.71%E -3.51%K -13.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 16:10
Fliff🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -11.89%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.11%EV -7.55%E -5.81%K -25.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig3.31I 30.21%NM 28.66%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.34%5.4%2026-03-17 16:35