Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes v Texas Tech Red Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes (Local)

Prediction 40.91%2.44fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -2.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.59%41.08%41.14%43.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.282.302.3646.08%43.80%43.48%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 59.09%1.69fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.794%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.51%58.92%58.86%60.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.601.581.6764.94%62.66%63.29%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Utes (Local): 40.91%; Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit): 59.09%. For Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.69. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.67, with an expected value of -1.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -3.44%E -1.46%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -7.23%E -4.61%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 16:20
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.23%E -4.61%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 18:09
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -9.01%E -5.85%K -16.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -9.01%E -5.85%K -16.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 18:05
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -3.85%E -1.64%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -9.01%E -5.85%K -16.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 18:05
MyBookie.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.08%E -2.19%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.82%E -5.02%K -13.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 18:53
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 15:50
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.90%E -2.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.87%E -3.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-19 11:54
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.83%EV -6.31%E -2.75%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.17%EV -6.64%E -4.20%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 18:20
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.87%E -3.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 16:23
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.94%E -3.53%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.23%E -4.61%K -12.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 18:15
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -8.35%E -3.73%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.28%E -2.64%K -6.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 16:15
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.99%E -4.54%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.33%E -0.794%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -1.33%E -0.794%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 16:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -11.22%E -5.17%K -9.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -1.33%E -0.794%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%5.0%2026-04-19 18:25