Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes v Texas Tech Red Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes (Local)

Prediction 41.96%2.38fair odd
EV -3.48%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.87%42.26%41.59%44.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.082.202.202.3048.08%45.42%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 58.04%1.72fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -3.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.32%57.74%58.41%59.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.641.641.6862.89%60.89%60.98%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Utes (Local): 41.96%; Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit): 58.04%. For Texas Tech Red Raiders (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.68, with an expected value of -2.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.48%E -1.51%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 14:54
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.48%E -1.51%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.56%E -4.08%K -10.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 12:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.48%E -1.51%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.14%E -4.46%K -11.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:50
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.48%E -1.51%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.72%E -4.86%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 12:53
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.58%E -2.48%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 18:55
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.30%EV -7.26%E -3.29%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.70%EV -5.98%E -3.69%K -9.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 19:00
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.68%E -3.49%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.08%E -1.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 16:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -8.52%E -3.91%K -7.22%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -4.82%E -2.94%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 18:58
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.94%E -4.12%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -3.08%E -1.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.94%E -4.12%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -3.08%E -1.84%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 16:50
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -12.72%E -6.11%K -11.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -2.50%E -1.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 19:35
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -12.72%E -6.11%K -11.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -2.50%E -1.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 19:35
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -12.72%E -6.11%K -11.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -2.50%E -1.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 19:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.26I 44.25%NM 40.84%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.16%8.4%2026-04-18 19:34