Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes v Grand Canyon Antelopes

Kickoff: 2026-03-09 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes (Local)

Prediction 60.74%1.65fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -5.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.64%61.10%60.61%64.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.541.5969.44%65.42%64.72%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grand Canyon Antelopes (Visit)

Prediction 39.26%2.55fair odd
EV +2.07%
Edge +0.798%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.027%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.64%38.90%39.39%40.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.432.402.6042.55%41.16%41.67%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Utes (Local): 60.74%; Grand Canyon Antelopes (Visit): 39.26%. For Grand Canyon Antelopes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -12.53%E -8.70%K -28.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +2.07%E +0.798%K +1.30%G +0.027%7.9%2026-03-09 17:55
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -12.53%E -8.70%K -28.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +2.07%E +0.798%K +1.30%G +0.027%7.9%2026-03-09 17:55
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -12.53%E -8.70%K -28.48%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +2.07%E +0.798%K +1.30%G +0.027%7.9%2026-03-09 17:55
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -6.46%E -4.19%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -4.99%E -2.06%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 17:45
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 23:54
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 16:10
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.46%E -4.19%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 00:05
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.46%E -4.19%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.78%E -2.41%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-09 00:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.17%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 16:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.24%E -3.36%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.17%E -2.58%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 16:10
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.36%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -7.35%E -3.11%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 17:14
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.42%E -2.15%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.74%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 17:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.85%E -3.78%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.74%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 17:49
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.07%E -4.62%K -13.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.74%E -3.29%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 08:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 70.76%2.42I 41.32%NM 29.24%41.3%2026-03-09 17:45