Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 1.83
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Utes (Local): 46.67%; Arizona Wildcats (Visit): 53.33%. For Utah Utes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -1.99%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -1.99%E -0.948%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -9.87%E -5.84%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 00:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.21%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.33%E -2.11%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.21%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 18:14 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -6.19%E -3.08%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -7.21%E -4.14%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-13 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.07%E -2.85%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-13 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.61%E -3.17%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-13 17:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.67%E -3.81%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-13 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.81%E -5.15%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-13 17:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.50%EV -6.66%E -3.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.94%E -6.55%K -16.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-13 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -8.53%E -4.35%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.14%E -3.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 17:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -8.53%E -4.35%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.14%E -3.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 17:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -8.53%E -4.35%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.14%E -3.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-13 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.86%E -5.69%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.41%E -1.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.86%E -5.69%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.41%E -1.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 20:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.86%E -5.69%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.41%E -1.32%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-13 20:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02% | 5.4% | 2026-03-13 23:35 |