Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes v Arizona Wildcats

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 20:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

40%

60%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Utes (Local)

Prediction 39.53%2.53fair odd

EV +1.58%

Edge +0.617%

Kelly +1.01%

Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.39%39.67%40.05%42.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.172.362.352.5746.08%42.30%42.55%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Wildcats (Visit)

Prediction 60.47%1.65fair odd

EV -1.43%

Edge -0.877%

Kelly -2.27%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

57.11%60.33%59.95%63.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.471.561.561.6368.03%64.13%63.90%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Utes (Local): 39.53%; Arizona Wildcats (Visit): 60.47%. For Utah Utes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.57, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV +1.58%E +0.617%K +1.01%G +0.016%	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -11.10%E -7.55%K -23.63%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-14 19:55
DraftKings🎯	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV +0.399%E +0.157%K +0.259%G +0.001%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.58%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-14 14:24
LowVig.ag🎯	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.58%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-14 18:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV +0.004%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.58%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-14 18:35
BetUS🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -1.18%E -0.473%K -0.788%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -9.29%E -6.19%K -18.58%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-03-14 18:35
FanDuel🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.93%E -2.49%K -4.29%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-14 15:20
theScore Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -3.85%E -2.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-03-14 15:20
BetMGM🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.11%E -3.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.06%E -3.22%K -8.87%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-14 14:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.85%E -2.42%K -6.52%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-14 14:48
Betway🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -9.09%E -3.95%K -6.99%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.66%E -3.63%K -10.11%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-14 15:20
1xBet🎯	2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -11.46%E -5.12%K -9.24%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -3.24%E -2.03%K -5.41%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-03-14 18:55
BetRivers🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -14.23%E -6.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -1.43%E -0.877%K -2.27%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-14 18:45
betPARX🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -14.23%E -6.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -1.43%E -0.877%K -2.27%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-14 18:45
Bally Bet🎯	2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -14.23%E -6.56%K -12.16%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -1.43%E -0.877%K -2.27%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-14 18:45

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%	5.4%	2026-03-14 19:25