Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Tech Trailblazers v Washington St Cougars

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 00:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

43%

57%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local)

Prediction 43.11%2.32fair odd

EV -0.845%

Edge -0.367%

Kelly -0.650%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.03%43.11%44.01%48.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.922.142.132.3052.08%46.73%46.84%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington St Cougars (Visit)

Prediction 56.89%1.76fair odd

EV +3.54%

Edge +1.94%

Kelly +4.31%

Growth +0.153%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.34%56.89%55.99%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.601.681.671.8262.50%59.64%59.88%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local): 43.11%; Washington St Cougars (Visit): 56.89%. For Washington St Cougars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.54%.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -17.23%E -8.97%K -18.72%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV +3.54%E +1.94%K +4.31%G +0.153%	7.0%	2026-04-15 18:15
Caesars🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.31%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.86%E -2.28%K -5.59%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-04-15 17:54
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -8.60%E -4.06%K -7.68%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-04-15 18:10
Betway🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.00%E -2.99%K -7.46%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-04-15 16:45
Bovada🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.00%E -1.33%K -2.40%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.41%E -5.22%K -13.78%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-04-15 16:43
DraftKings🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -0.845%E -0.367%K -0.650%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.98%E -5.61%K -14.96%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-04-15 16:40

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig◎	2.26I 44.25%NM 40.84%	1.56I 64.10%NM 59.16%	8.4%	2026-04-15 23:55