Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Tech Trailblazers v UT-Arlington Mavericks

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local)

Prediction 60.54%1.65fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -6.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%60.54%60.61%60.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.551.541.5965.36%64.52%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit)

Prediction 39.46%2.53fair odd
EV -5.30%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.09%39.46%39.39%40.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.342.372.372.4042.74%42.17%42.28%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local): 60.54%; UT-Arlington Mavericks (Visit): 39.46%. For Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.59, with an expected value of -3.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.74%E -2.35%K -6.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -6.09%E -2.56%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.56%E -3.56%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 15:50
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.56%E -3.56%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 17:00
Bovada🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.77%E -4.39%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.30%E -2.21%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.77%E -4.39%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 16:09
Bally Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.77%E -4.39%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 16:08
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.77%E -4.39%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.27%E -3.09%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 16:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.37%E -4.82%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.53%EV -7.67%E -3.28%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 38.91%1.00I 100.00%NM 61.09%63.7%2026-05-20 17:30