Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Tech Trailblazers v Austin Peay Governors

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local)

Prediction 34.99%2.86fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.720%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%35.01%34.99%36.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.672.652.8038.46%37.43%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austin Peay Governors (Visit)

Prediction 65.01%1.54fair odd
EV -3.79%
Edge -2.56%
Kelly -7.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%64.99%65.01%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.441.431.4869.93%69.40%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local): 34.99%; Austin Peay Governors (Visit): 65.01%. For Utah Tech Trailblazers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -2.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.02%E -0.720%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -7.04%E -4.92%K -16.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 22:25
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.74%E -3.96%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 01:04
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.74%E -3.96%K -12.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 03:10
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -5.52%E -2.04%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -7.04%E -4.92%K -16.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 01:29
MyBookie.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -6.22%E -2.32%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -7.04%E -4.92%K -16.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-05 22:29
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.26%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.04%E -4.92%K -16.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 22:25
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.26%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.04%E -4.92%K -16.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 22:25
Bally Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.26%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.04%E -4.92%K -16.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 22:25
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.26%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -7.04%E -4.92%K -16.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-05 22:25
1xBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.87%EV -8.66%E -3.32%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.13%EV -5.09%E -3.49%K -11.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-05 16:29
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.01%E -3.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.79%E -2.56%K -7.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 17:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.76I 36.23%NM 33.33%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.67%8.7%2026-03-06 00:24