The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UT-Arlington Mavericks v Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UT-Arlington Mavericks (Local)

Prediction 63.57%1.57fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -3.10%
Kelly -9.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%63.42%63.57%63.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.481.481.5068.03%67.57%67.57%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visit)

Prediction 36.43%2.74fair odd
EV -5.28%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.12%36.58%36.43%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.572.602.6040.00%38.87%38.46%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UT-Arlington Mavericks (Local): 63.57%; Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Visit): 36.43%. For UT-Arlington Mavericks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.50, with an expected value of -4.64%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.64%E -3.10%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-16 22:55
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 16:25
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -7.47%E -2.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 16:35
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.92%E -4.00%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 16:05
Bovada🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.28%E -2.03%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-16 23:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.55%E -4.46%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -6.38%E -2.48%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.43I 69.93%NM 64.34%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.66%8.7%2026-03-17 22:50