The School of College Oddsodds.college
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UT-Arlington Mavericks v Lamar Cardinals

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UT-Arlington Mavericks (Local)

Prediction 38.93%2.57fair odd
EV -0.734%
Edge -0.288%
Kelly -0.474%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.72%38.91%38.92%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.402.382.5544.05%41.74%42.11%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lamar Cardinals (Visit)

Prediction 61.07%1.64fair odd
EV -4.73%
Edge -3.03%
Kelly -8.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%61.09%61.08%63.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.531.531.5667.57%65.32%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UT-Arlington Mavericks (Local): 38.93%; Lamar Cardinals (Visit): 61.07%. For UT-Arlington Mavericks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -0.734%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -0.734%E -0.288%K -0.474%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -9.61%E -6.50%K -20.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:44
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.68%E -1.07%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 18:40
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 00:24
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.63%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 12:20
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.57%E -2.74%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.73%E -3.03%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.52%E -3.63%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:30
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -9.30%E -3.99%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:25
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -9.30%E -3.99%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:25
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -9.30%E -3.99%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -5.95%E -3.86%K -11.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:25
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.26%EV -11.63%E -5.13%K -9.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 15:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.