The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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UT-Arlington Mavericks v Air Force Falcons

Kickoff: 2026-03-02 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

UT-Arlington Mavericks (Local)

Prediction 57.96%1.73fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -3.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.25%57.91%57.94%59.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.611.611.6864.10%62.00%62.11%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Air Force Falcons (Visit)

Prediction 42.04%2.38fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.63%42.09%42.06%43.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.112.222.232.3047.39%45.02%44.94%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: UT-Arlington Mavericks (Local): 57.96%; Air Force Falcons (Visit): 42.04%. For UT-Arlington Mavericks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.73. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.68, with an expected value of -2.62%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -2.62%E -1.56%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -9.20%E -4.26%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-02 19:14
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.20%E -1.92%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.62%E -4.47%K -8.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-02 01:19
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.36%E -2.64%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 23:29
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.10%E -3.77%K -9.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-02 15:44
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.31%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-02 18:14
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.52%E -3.42%K -6.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 15:14
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.72%EV -6.68%E -4.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.28%EV -11.30%E -5.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-02 14:14
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.58%E -6.14%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-02 18:14
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.58%E -6.14%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-02 18:14
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -9.58%E -6.14%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.15%E -1.82%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-02 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.