Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans v Washington Huskies

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans (Local)

Prediction 80.95%1.24fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -14.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.32%80.92%80.65%82.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.161.151.2088.50%86.04%86.96%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 19.05%5.25fair odd
EV +2.89%
Edge +0.536%
Kelly +0.657%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.43%19.08%19.35%21.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.844.755.4023.26%20.68%21.05%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 80.95%; Washington Huskies (Visit): 19.05%. For Washington Huskies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.25. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.72%E -6.77%K -55.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +2.89%E +0.536%K +0.657%G +0.019%6.2%2026-03-22 19:49
BetMGM🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +0.035%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 19:49
theScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -8.53%E -7.55%K -65.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV +0.035%E +0.007%K +0.008%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-22 19:49
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.27%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.08%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.73%EV -4.92%E -0.986%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-22 19:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.91%E -6.01%K -46.08%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -6.63%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 19:53
Fliff🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 80.94%EV -8.53%E -7.55%K -65.63%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -8.54%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 19:50
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.87%E -2.39%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -9.49%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-22 16:09
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -5.29%E -4.52%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -9.49%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 16:33
Betway🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -7.72%E -6.77%K -55.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -9.49%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 19:38
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -4.48%E -3.80%K -24.91%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -10.44%E -2.22%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -14.07%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 16:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.12%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.88%EV -14.07%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-22 16:09
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.32%EV -3.67%E -3.09%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -18.07%E -4.20%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 82.02%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.98%5.1%2026-03-22 19:40