Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans v Washington Huskies

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans (Local)

Prediction 81.18%1.23fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -4.29%
Kelly -29.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.67%81.35%81.17%82.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.151.151.1787.72%86.88%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Huskies (Visit)

Prediction 18.82%5.31fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.272%
Kelly +0.334%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 5.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.46%18.65%18.83%19.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.095.055.3920.83%19.65%19.78%18.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 81.18%; Washington Huskies (Visit): 18.82%. For Washington Huskies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.31. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.39, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.54%EV -7.46%E -6.54%K -53.29%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.46%EV +1.46%E +0.272%K +0.334%G +0.005%6.3%2026-03-21 01:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.54%EV -7.46%E -6.54%K -53.29%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.46%EV +1.46%E +0.272%K +0.334%G +0.005%6.3%2026-03-21 01:30
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -5.02%E -4.29%K -29.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -2.11%E -0.406%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 01:30
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -7.46%E -6.54%K -53.29%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -2.11%E -0.406%K -0.503%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 01:30
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.76%EV -7.46%E -6.54%K -53.29%G +0.000%5.11I 19.57%NM 18.24%EV -3.81%E -0.745%K -0.926%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-20 23:10
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.84%E -5.03%K -36.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 18:40
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.65%E -5.78%K -44.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.88%E -1.18%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 16:21
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.02%E -4.29%K -29.56%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -7.76%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-20 16:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -6.65%E -5.78%K -44.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -7.76%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-20 22:00
theScore Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -6.65%E -5.78%K -44.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -9.64%E -2.01%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-20 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.16I 86.21%NM 81.79%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.21%5.4%2026-03-21 01:04