Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.50
assuming max odds 1.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 39.54%; UCLA Bruins (Visit): 60.46%. For USC Trojans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.50, with an expected value of -1.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -1.14%E -0.457%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -8.11%E -5.33%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 19:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 19:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.90%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 19:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.69%E -3.65%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 19:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 19:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.50%E -4.90%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 19:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.07%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -9.31%E -6.21%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-23 19:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -8.26%E -3.56%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 19:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -8.26%E -3.56%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 19:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 19:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 19:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -11.03%E -4.90%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 19:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 19:20 |