The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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USC Trojans v UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Kickoff: 2026-04-01 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans (Local)

Prediction 63.48%1.58fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -8.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.34%63.96%63.41%66.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.451.441.5172.46%68.97%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit)

Prediction 36.52%2.74fair odd
EV +2.25%
Edge +0.803%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.01%36.04%36.59%37.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.632.622.8040.00%38.00%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 63.48%; UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit): 36.52%. For UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -12.39%E -8.98%K -32.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +2.25%E +0.803%K +1.25%G +0.028%8.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -12.39%E -8.98%K -32.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +2.25%E +0.803%K +1.25%G +0.028%8.2%2026-04-01 00:05
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -12.39%E -8.98%K -32.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV +2.25%E +0.803%K +1.25%G +0.028%8.2%2026-04-01 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -1.04%E -0.383%K -0.606%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.95%E -5.48%K -17.67%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -3.96%E -1.51%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 00:04
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.32%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 00:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.32%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.59%E -5.96%K -19.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.32%E -1.65%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 00:05
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.78%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.05%E -1.94%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 00:05
1xBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -5.41%E -3.63%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -8.34%E -3.32%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.14%E -2.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 00:04
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.78%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 00:03
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.78%E -3.18%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.71%E -3.48%K -5.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 00:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.