Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.53
assuming max odds 2.62
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 63.65%; UC Irvine Anteaters (Visit): 36.35%. For USC Trojans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.53, with an expected value of -2.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.61%E -1.71%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.95%E -4.47%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.50%E -2.12%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -7.68%E -3.02%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -8.04%E -3.18%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -4.52%E -3.01%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -8.04%E -3.18%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 20:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.75%EV -5.16%E -3.46%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.25%EV -8.77%E -3.49%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.79%E -3.91%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -4.77%E -1.82%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.79%E -3.91%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.50%E -2.12%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.34%E -5.79%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.50%E -2.12%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -10.88%E -7.77%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -5.50%E -2.12%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -10.88%E -7.77%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -5.50%E -2.12%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -10.88%E -7.77%K -27.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -5.50%E -2.12%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 00:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.