The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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USC Trojans v Texas State Bobcats

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 01:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans (Local)

Prediction 67.07%1.49fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -7.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.79%67.44%66.90%70.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.391.401.4476.92%71.97%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas State Bobcats (Visit)

Prediction 32.93%3.04fair odd
EV +3.74%
Edge +1.19%
Kelly +1.74%
Growth +0.065%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.21%32.56%33.10%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.882.833.1537.74%34.77%35.27%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 67.07%; Texas State Bobcats (Visit): 32.93%. For Texas State Bobcats (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.74%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -12.81%E -9.85%K -42.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV +3.74%E +1.19%K +1.74%G +0.065%8.7%2026-05-29 14:49
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -12.81%E -9.85%K -42.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV +3.74%E +1.19%K +1.74%G +0.065%8.7%2026-05-29 14:49
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -12.81%E -9.85%K -42.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV +3.74%E +1.19%K +1.74%G +0.065%8.7%2026-05-29 14:59
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -9.46%E -7.01%K -27.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +2.09%E +0.674%K +0.995%G +0.021%6.3%2026-05-28 16:28
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.45%E -5.40%K -19.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.20%E -0.402%K -0.602%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 22:09
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.76%E -3.35%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.85%E -0.967%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-29 14:19
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.50%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 14:20
Bovada🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.45%E -5.40%K -19.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.50%E -1.55%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 14:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.98%EV -5.43%E -3.85%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -5.82%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 23:18
Fliff🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.02%EV -10.13%E -7.56%K -29.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.98%EV -6.14%E -2.16%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 00:20
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -3.42%E -2.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -7.13%E -2.53%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 00:20
Pinnacle🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -4.09%E -2.86%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -7.13%E -2.53%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 00:19
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.76%E -3.35%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.79%E -2.78%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 23:09
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.44%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 23:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.44%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 23:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.44%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 23:19
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.10%E -4.36%K -15.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.44%E -3.43%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-29 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -3.42%E -2.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -10.75%E -3.97%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 00:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -3.42%E -2.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -10.75%E -3.97%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 00:49
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -3.42%E -2.38%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -12.73%E -4.80%K -7.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 00:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%4.3%2026-05-30 00:10