Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans v Texas A&M Aggies

Kickoff: 2026-06-01 01:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans (Local)

Prediction 38.69%2.58fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.19%39.37%37.66%45.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.092.392.502.5047.85%41.84%40.00%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Texas A&M Aggies (Visit)

Prediction 61.31%1.63fair odd
EV +4.85%
Edge +2.84%
Kelly +6.83%
Growth +0.331%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.00%60.63%62.34%62.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.501.7167.57%64.40%66.45%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 38.69%; Texas A&M Aggies (Visit): 61.31%. For Texas A&M Aggies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.63. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.85%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -19.15%E -9.16%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV +4.85%E +2.84%K +6.83%G +0.331%6.3%2026-06-01 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.00%EV -19.15%E -9.16%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.00%EV +4.85%E +2.84%K +6.83%G +0.331%6.3%2026-06-01 01:00
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -14.12%E -6.36%K -11.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV +1.17%E +0.709%K +1.80%G +0.021%5.7%2026-06-01 01:00
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -9.09%E -3.87%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -2.51%E -1.58%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 00:59
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -4.35%E -2.79%K -7.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-01 00:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -6.77%E -2.81%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -4.96%E -3.20%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 00:59
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -3.29%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.41%E -4.91%K -14.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 00:29
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.29%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-01 00:10
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.29%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-01 00:19
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.29%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-01 00:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.29%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-01 00:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.29%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.03%E -5.35%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-01 00:40
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.29%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.25%E -6.25%K -19.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-01 01:00
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -3.29%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -9.25%E -6.25%K -19.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-01 01:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.