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USC Trojans v San Diego Toreros
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
USC Trojans (Local)
assuming max odds 1.24
San Diego Toreros (Visit)
assuming max odds 4.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 77.00%; San Diego Toreros (Visit): 23.00%. For San Diego Toreros (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -2.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.52%E -3.64%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 05:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-11 21:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.93%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -10.77%E -2.77%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 10:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.20%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.80%EV -5.02%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.20%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.80%EV -5.02%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 23:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 12:23 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 08:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 08:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 08:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.83%E -5.64%K -32.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.71%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.60%E -6.33%K -37.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.41%E -0.811%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.60%E -6.33%K -37.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.01%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 21:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -8.37%E -7.03%K -44.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -2.26%E -0.531%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 21:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -8.37%E -7.03%K -44.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -2.26%E -0.531%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 21:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -8.37%E -7.03%K -44.04%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -2.26%E -0.531%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 21:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.14% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.86% | 5.4% | 2026-03-12 00:50 |