Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.20
assuming max odds 5.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 80.59%; Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Visit): 19.41%. For Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.60%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -10.54%E -9.50%K -95.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +11.60%E +2.02%K +2.44%G +0.283% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 17:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -8.13%E -7.13%K -58.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.01%E -0.199%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -8.13%E -7.13%K -58.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.01%E -0.199%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -8.13%E -7.13%K -58.05%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.01%E -0.199%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.71%E -4.88%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.95%E -0.591%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.71%E -4.88%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.95%E -0.591%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.71%E -4.88%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.95%E -0.591%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-02 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.51%E -5.62%K -40.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.95%E -0.591%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-02 17:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.13%E -7.13%K -58.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.95%E -0.591%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-02 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.89%EV -6.51%E -5.62%K -40.72%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.11%EV -4.70%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-02 18:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.29%E -2.74%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.81%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-02 11:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.71%E -4.88%K -33.58%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -8.78%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-02 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.48%EV -4.10%E -3.44%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.52%EV -10.52%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.48%EV -4.10%E -3.44%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.52%EV -10.52%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-02 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.10%E -3.44%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.72%E -2.33%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 03:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.10%E -3.44%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -14.60%E -3.32%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-02 14:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.43% | 5.13I 19.49%NM 18.57% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 20:44 |