Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans v Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Kickoff: 2026-05-02 21:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans (Local)

Prediction 80.59%1.24fair odd
EV -3.29%
Edge -2.74%
Kelly -16.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.71%80.59%81.04%83.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.161.171.2090.09%85.88%85.47%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Visit)

Prediction 19.41%5.15fair odd
EV +11.60%
Edge +2.02%
Kelly +2.44%
Growth +0.283%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.18%19.41%18.96%21.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.915.005.7522.73%20.35%20.00%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 80.59%; Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Visit): 19.41%. For Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82%EV -10.54%E -9.50%K -95.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18%EV +11.60%E +2.02%K +2.44%G +0.283%7.5%2026-05-02 17:15
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -8.13%E -7.13%K -58.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.01%E -0.199%K -0.247%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 15:45
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -8.13%E -7.13%K -58.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.01%E -0.199%K -0.247%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 15:45
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -8.13%E -7.13%K -58.05%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -1.01%E -0.199%K -0.247%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 15:45
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.71%E -4.88%K -33.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.95%E -0.591%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 15:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.71%E -4.88%K -33.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.95%E -0.591%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.71%E -4.88%K -33.58%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -2.95%E -0.591%K -0.739%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 15:15
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.51%E -5.62%K -40.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.95%E -0.591%K -0.739%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 17:15
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.13%E -7.13%K -58.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -2.95%E -0.591%K -0.739%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-02 15:45
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 80.89%EV -6.51%E -5.62%K -40.72%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.11%EV -4.70%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 18:15
Caesars🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -3.29%E -2.74%K -16.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -7.81%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-02 11:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.71%E -4.88%K -33.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -8.78%E -1.87%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.48%EV -4.10%E -3.44%K -21.56%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.52%EV -10.52%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.48%EV -4.10%E -3.44%K -21.56%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.52%EV -10.52%E -2.28%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -4.10%E -3.44%K -21.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -10.72%E -2.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 03:09
BetUS🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -4.10%E -3.44%K -21.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -14.60%E -3.32%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 81.43%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.57%5.0%2026-05-02 20:44