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USC Trojans v Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
USC Trojans (Local)
assuming max odds 1.31
Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.51
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 72.99%; Rutgers Scarlet Knights (Visit): 27.01%. For USC Trojans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.31, with an expected value of -4.38%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.38%E -3.34%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -5.48%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-03 14:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.38%E -3.34%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.18%E -2.40%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-03 01:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.38%E -3.34%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 02:38 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.11%E -3.93%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.53%E -2.84%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -5.84%E -4.53%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -5.21%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 14:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.13%EV -5.84%E -4.53%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.88%EV -5.21%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.84%E -4.53%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.48%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.84%E -4.53%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.48%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 12:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.84%E -4.53%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.48%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.84%E -4.53%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.48%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.84%E -4.53%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.48%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.61%EV -5.84%E -4.53%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.39%EV -7.64%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-03 14:43 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.84%E -4.53%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.18%E -2.40%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 14:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.84%E -4.53%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.18%E -2.40%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 14:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.09% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.91% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 19:00 |