Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans v Rice Owls

Kickoff: 2026-02-22 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans (Local)

Prediction 80.83%1.24fair odd
EV -5.42%
Edge -4.64%
Kelly -31.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.99%80.72%81.17%82.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.161.171.1787.72%86.21%85.47%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rice Owls (Visit)

Prediction 19.17%5.22fair odd
EV +0.618%
Edge +0.118%
Kelly +0.145%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.84%19.28%18.83%21.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.825.005.2522.73%20.77%20.00%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 80.83%; Rice Owls (Visit): 19.17%. For Rice Owls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.618%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.85%E -6.88%K -56.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +0.618%E +0.118%K +0.145%G +0.001%6.8%2026-02-22 17:58
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.89%EV -7.04%E -6.12%K -46.93%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -0.340%E -0.065%K -0.081%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 14:54
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.42%E -4.64%K -31.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.17%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.42%E -4.64%K -31.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.17%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.42%E -4.64%K -31.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -4.17%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.23%E -5.37%K -38.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.17%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 02:05
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -6.23%E -5.37%K -38.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -4.17%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 14:54
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.85%E -6.88%K -56.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -4.17%E -0.835%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 14:59
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.42%E -4.64%K -31.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.76%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 14:54
1xBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.61%EV -7.85%E -6.88%K -56.06%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.39%EV -14.71%E -3.31%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-22 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.42%E -4.64%K -31.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -15.67%E -3.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 14:55
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.42%E -4.64%K -31.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -15.67%E -3.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 14:54
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -5.42%E -4.64%K -31.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -15.67%E -3.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-22 14:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.