The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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USC Trojans v North Carolina Tar Heels

Kickoff: 2026-06-06 18:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans (Local)

Prediction 37.64%2.66fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.971%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.52%37.81%37.50%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.492.502.5941.67%40.21%40.00%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)

Prediction 62.36%1.60fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -4.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%62.19%62.50%63.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.511.501.5668.03%66.29%66.67%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 37.64%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 62.36%. For USC Trojans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.59, with an expected value of -2.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
MyBookie.ag🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.52%EV -2.52%E -0.971%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.48%EV -7.08%E -4.75%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-06 17:59
Caesars🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.02%E -1.58%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-06 17:56
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-06 17:59
FanDuel🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -7.08%E -4.75%K -14.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-06 18:00
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -4.77%E -1.89%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-06 17:59
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 17:59
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 17:59
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-06 17:59
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 17:59
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 18:00
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.90%E -2.36%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.71%E -5.21%K -16.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-06 18:00
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.66%E -2.68%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.34%E -2.15%K -6.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-06 17:55
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.79%E -3.18%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.59%E -3.00%K -8.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-06 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.54%E -3.51%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -8.54%E -3.51%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.96%E -2.57%K -7.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 18:00
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -2.72%E -1.74%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-06 17:59
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.46%E -4.31%K -12.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-06 17:59
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -9.67%E -4.03%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.33%E -5.67%K -17.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-06 17:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%2.5%2026-06-06 17:59