The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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USC Trojans v Nevada Wolf Pack

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 02:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans (Local)

Prediction 85.00%1.18fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -2.72%
Kelly -22.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.02%84.75%84.80%85.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.111.1492.59%90.42%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 15.00%6.67fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.381%
Kelly -0.451%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.25%15.25%15.20%17.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.206.086.206.5019.23%16.45%16.13%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 85.00%; Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit): 15.00%. For Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 6.50, with an expected value of -2.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.54%EV -3.10%E -2.72%K -22.17%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.46%EV -19.13%E -3.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.54%EV -3.10%E -2.72%K -22.17%G +0.000%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.46%EV -19.13%E -3.55%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 16:54
BetUS🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -3.10%E -2.72%K -22.17%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -21.98%E -4.23%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-08 17:09
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.80%E -4.29%K -40.03%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.23%E -0.997%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 19:14
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.65%E -5.09%K -51.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -2.48%E -0.381%K -0.451%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 18:50
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.65%E -5.09%K -51.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.98%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 19:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.65%E -5.09%K -51.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.98%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 19:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.65%E -5.09%K -51.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -9.98%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-08 19:20
1xBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.05%EV -6.50%E -5.91%K -65.04%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 14.95%EV -6.08%E -0.971%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 00:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.50%E -5.91%K -65.04%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -6.98%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 00:44
Betway🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.35%E -6.75%K -81.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -9.98%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 01:54
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.20%E -7.60%K -102.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -2.48%E -0.381%K -0.451%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 00:34
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.20%E -7.60%K -102.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -2.48%E -0.381%K -0.451%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 00:34
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.20%E -7.60%K -102.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -2.48%E -0.381%K -0.451%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 00:34
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.20%E -7.60%K -102.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -2.48%E -0.381%K -0.451%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 00:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.01I 99.01%NM 87.07%6.80I 14.71%NM 12.93%13.7%2026-05-09 01:49