The School of College Oddsodds.college
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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USC Trojans v Nevada Wolf Pack

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

USC Trojans (Local)

Prediction 84.10%1.19fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -3.62%
Kelly -29.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.82%84.13%84.27%85.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.121.121.1490.91%89.69%89.69%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit)

Prediction 15.90%6.29fair odd
EV +4.93%
Edge +0.748%
Kelly +0.881%
Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 6.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.29%15.87%15.73%17.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.405.845.876.6018.52%17.13%17.05%15.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: USC Trojans (Local): 84.10%; Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit): 15.90%. For Nevada Wolf Pack (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.29. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -7.49%E -6.81%K -74.89%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV +4.93%E +0.748%K +0.881%G +0.043%6.1%2026-05-09 14:59
BetMGM🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -6.65%E -5.99%K -60.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -0.630%E -0.101%K -0.120%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.81%E -5.18%K -48.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -4.60%E -0.767%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 14:09
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.65%E -5.99%K -60.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.60%E -0.767%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 14:12
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.65%E -5.99%K -60.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.60%E -0.767%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 19:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.65%E -5.99%K -60.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.60%E -0.767%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 19:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.65%E -5.99%K -60.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -4.60%E -0.767%K -0.921%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 19:04
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.49%E -6.81%K -74.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -4.60%E -0.767%K -0.921%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 14:14
MyBookie.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -6.65%E -5.99%K -60.44%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -6.19%E -1.05%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:58
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -5.81%E -5.18%K -48.39%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -7.31%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 15:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.88%EV -5.81%E -5.18%K -48.39%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.12%EV -7.31%E -1.25%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 15:44
Caesars🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -4.13%E -3.62%K -29.46%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -8.58%E -1.49%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 15:24
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.55%EV -5.81%E -5.18%K -48.39%G +0.000%5.69I 17.57%NM 16.45%EV -9.53%E -1.68%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 19:45
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.81%E -5.18%K -48.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.55%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 15:44
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.65%E -5.99%K -60.44%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -12.55%E -2.28%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-09 16:17
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -5.81%E -5.18%K -48.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -14.14%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 18:44
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -5.81%E -5.18%K -48.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -14.14%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 18:44
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -5.81%E -5.18%K -48.39%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -14.14%E -2.62%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 18:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%5.6%2026-05-09 19:45